2024-25 Panini Origins Basketball: Storytelling and… Outer Space?

Panini’s Origins Basketball returns for the 2024-25 NBA season, offering collectors a product that blends artistic design with a focus on the league’s top rookies and stars.

Known for its abstract aesthetics and premium content, Origins continues to carve out a unique niche in the basketball card market. But is this set, which has sets inspired by space, animals and more, a good buy and hold? Or should you steer clever? 

Here’s our insight. 

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An Introduction to 2024 Panini Origins Basketball

Releasing on March 21st at $270/box, the 2024-25 Panini Origins Basketball set maintains its reputation as a premium, hit-heavy product, with a strong emphasis on storytelling (hence the name) for the latest NBA rookie class alongside a curated selection of veterans and legends.

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This year Origins is coming in hobby boxes and H2 boxes.

  • Hobby boxes deliver a compact seven-card pack (one pack per box), averaging:
    • Two autographs or memorabilia cards
    • Two base cards
    • Two parallels
    • One insert
  • H2 boxes, aimed at a broader audience, include six packs per box (six cards per pack) but skip the hits in favor of:
    • 14 rookies
    • Two parallels
    • Five inserts on average

This dual-format approach ensures Origins appeals to both high-end collectors chasing autographs and casual hobbyists looking for variety and affordability.

While the exact set size remains unconfirmed, this set usually rolls with a concise checklist (likely 100-150 cards), blending rookies and established stars. Unlike mass-produced sets like Hoops or Donruss, Origins‘ limited base card output (just two per hobby box) enhances their scarcity and secondary market value.

Parallels: A rainbow of rarity

Parallels are a cornerstone of Origins, with hobby and H2 boxes each guaranteeing two per box. And for a non-optichrome set, they do a pretty good job with them. Here’s what you can expect:

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Hobby-Exclusive Parallels

  • Red – A staple parallel, likely /149 or /99, offering a vibrant but accessible chase.
  • Blue – Expected at /99, providing a cool-toned, moderately rare option.
  • Orange/75, bringing fiery contrast and increased scarcity.
  • Turquoise/25, with a distinctive aqua shimmer and a sharp drop in availability.
  • Gold/10, a luxurious centerpiece for high-end collectors.
  • Green/5, ultra-rare and highly sought after.
  • Black1/1, the ultimate Origins grail for any serious collector.

Additional Hobby-Only Parallels:

  • Tessellated – A new geometric pattern, possibly /49 (returning from 2023-24).
  • Neon Stripes – Another recent addition, likely /49, featuring a dynamic, streaked design.

H2-Exclusive Parallels

  • Black and WhiteLimited to /15, this stark, monochromatic finish offers a bold contrast.
  • Amethyst/8, a stunning purple-hued rarity exclusively for H2 collectors.

While H2 parallels provide an affordable chase, the higher pack count (six per box) dilutes their per-pack hit rate, making them a lower-risk, lower-reward alternative to hobby boxes.

A breakdown of cards in 2024-25 Panini Origins Basketball

For those considering investing in 2024-25 Panini Origins Basketball, here’s what else to expect:

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Autographs and Memorabilia Cards

Each hobby box guarantees two autographs or memorabilia cards, with a focus on rookies and established stars.

Autograph Subsets:

  • Rookie Jersey Autographs – On-card rookie autos paired with jersey swatches.
  • Elevation Signatures – Featuring top rookies in a vertical design.
  • Universal Autographs – A mix of current and retired NBA stars.
  • Six Star Signatures – Booklet cards featuring six autographs.
  • Rookie Auto Booklet Patch – Booklet cards with rookie autographs and jumbo patches.

Each subset offers a range of low-numbered parallels, including 1/1 versions.

Investing in sealed boxes of Origins Basketball

Origins Basketball is a high-risk, high-reward product, meaning sealed boxes have the potential to appreciate—but only if demand remains strong, and that largely depends on the rookie class. 

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But is the price right? Here’s the price for past releases of Origins as of 3/10/25.

  • 2024-25: $275
  • 2023-24: $295
  • 2022-23: $290
  • 2021-22: $350
  • 2020-21: $290

For investors, waiting to see the secondary market reaction before committing to sealed boxes might be a smart approach. My guess? Without a breakout rookie star, this is a set to avoid at release day price. 

Investing in singles of Panini Origins Basketball

Given Origins’ high-risk structure, singles may be the safest play for collectors.

  • If you’re chasing specific rookies or parallels, buying singles ensures you get what you want without the risk of an underwhelming box.
  • Numbered parallels and autographs from standout players could hold long-term value.

With Origins, picking your spots is key—especially with the rookie auto uncertainty.

In conclusion: Rip, hold or pass on Panini Origins Basketball 2024-25

2024-25 Panini Origins Basketball offers one of the most visually unique products on the market, blending artistic backgrounds, premium parallels, and top-tier rookie cards.

However, the limited autograph checklist and high-risk nature of the product might make some collectors hesitate.

  • Rip? – No. Unless you’re absolutely in love with Origins’ abstract aesthetic and are willing to take a gamble on rare hits.
  • No? — Not at release day price. 
  • Pass? This is the safest choice with Origins. At the $300ish price point, there are more attractive options. 

What do you think? Share your thoughts on 2024-25 Origins or show us your hits on X @card_lines. We also have a newsletter, sent twice a week. Subscribe to it right here. We’re working hard on our YouTube, too! Check it out right here.

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Jesse Haynes

Jesse Haynes

Jesse Haynes is the co-founder of Solaro Shades, an Amazon #1 Bestselling novelist, and a lifelong sports card collector. His nonfiction work has been featured in Forbes, Inc., MarketWatch and more. At CardLines, Jesse’s specialties are basketball and football cards, not to mention making informative video and Instagram content.

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